JOE’S BLOG: Severe Storms Possible Tuesday

Lightning from storms south of Hartman on 9/7/12.

Temperatures over the weekend will start a slow warm-up before a more rapid warm-up early next week. Highs will be unseasonable warm in the low to mid 70’s setting the stage for a round of winter-time severe storms. 

We have been watching a rather impressive piece of upper-level energy for a couple of days now. It is currently spinning off the NW US coast. water vapor

There are details to be worked out about the exact evolution and track of this storm system, but most of the weather models have come into better agreement in bringing this energy through our area on Tuesday.

This energy appears will arrive during the day Tuesday and will be the focus of strong to severe storms. gfs 500

Monday and Tuesday will be unseasonably warm days. Highs will soar into the 70’s and overnight lows with remain very mild in the 50’s and 60’s. Here is a look at the set-up for Tuesday. GFS temps

It is possible we reach record highs in Fayetteville on Tuesday, and possibly in Fort Smith. Overnight record high lows will be possible as well due to the very warm airmass.

The Storm Prediction Center is also monitoring for the possibility of severe storms on Tuesday. It is somewhat rare for the SPC to issue severe outlooks beyond 3 days, especially in the winter. day4

Of course we will have more updates on the possibility of severe weather throughout the weekend and early next week.

 

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