The July 4th Holiday will arrive at the end of the week and the weather actually looks favorable for anything outdoors! It appears the best chance for rain will be on Tuesday and then clearing on Wednesday of this week followed by slightly lower humidity and temperatures as the weekend nears.
The upper levels show a large ridge building in the desert southwest on July 4th with a weak trough across the eastern side of Arkansas and Mississippi. This would favor limited afternoon showers with peak daytime heating. Any showers that do manage to develop will rapidly fade with the loss of daytime heating.
Currently, long-range models do not indicate any widespread rain at 7pm on July 4th. This is consistent with the upper level pattern that shows no forcing or strong ascent in the atmosphere.
Temperatures on July 4th will not be as hot as in previous years. Right now, temperatures look to range from the mid to upper 80s to near 90º. At dark, temperatures will be in the upper 70s to around 80º. Perfect weather for your backyard firework show.
Sunset is a 8:36pm.